Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.648080 0.839629 1.056240 1.316213 1.616670 1.950076 2.345053
2025-04-06 0.391641 0.628404 0.932419 1.336962 1.847056 2.455698 3.223432
2025-04-13 0.219524 0.452279 0.795357 1.300195 1.988329 2.860665 4.016815
2025-04-20 0.127577 0.345742 0.715303 1.311019 2.177854 3.330639 4.916706
2025-04-27 0.072173 0.267805 0.650905 1.323722 2.360526 3.795681 5.830726
2025-05-04 0.034049 0.193439 0.564987 1.280700 2.449261 4.130484 6.582625
2025-05-11 0.013432 0.136471 0.487321 1.230450 2.512996 4.424902 7.284605
2025-05-18 0.005202 0.104689 0.448362 1.237392 2.660866 4.841651 8.165811
2025-05-25 0.001074 0.073248 0.393078 1.199327 2.726123 5.133806 8.876397
2025-06-01 0.000266 0.062988 0.391286 1.267438 2.973973 5.709404 10.007943
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.047387 0.362801 1.271720 3.107572 6.111553 10.896404
2025-06-15 NaN 0.043652 0.374861 1.368167 3.411375 6.788742 12.203882
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036890 0.371930 1.431701 3.663805 7.401605 13.444912
2025-06-29 NaN 0.028612 0.355701 1.460212 3.852695 7.920066 14.559838
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018470 0.317413 1.424508 3.915156 8.234819 15.375550
2025-07-13 NaN 0.013176 0.299302 1.437780 4.072202 8.708087 16.441007
2025-07-20 NaN 0.009207 0.283049 1.452224 4.230779 9.186788 17.522617
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004880 0.249412 1.406853 4.262285 9.450767 18.276527
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002132 0.216543 1.353498 4.270473 9.672319 18.966155
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001121 0.203268 1.361029 4.408188 10.119889 20.017671
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000319 0.178503 1.320463 4.436043 10.374557 20.766988
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000229 0.183771 1.393181 4.721488 11.090769 22.262918
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000057 0.172196 1.397765 4.851684 11.533191 23.326697